Golf Betting: Betting Favorites to Win Tournaments

Sports Betting

 

Golf Betting Favorites to Win Tournaments

So obviously when it comes to sports betting, the idea is to pick the winner, and make some money right? Well, it may come as a surprise, but picking the golfer who has the best odds and is the most likely (in terms of sports betting) to win the event, isn't always the best way to go about it. When it comes to betting on a golfer to win a major, you'll find that a good amount of the time, it's a dark horse who comes up big down the stretch of the event. But what does that mean? Should you just bet the big underdogs and hope to hit a big score? Not exactly.

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The main problem with betting the heavy favorites is that their odds don't normally justify placing that bet. Especially if a player is in a situation like Tiger Woods was in the 2000's. Some players are such heavy favorites that the odds can even dip to as low as +300 or +400 to bet on them to win the major. When you break it down that way, it means that a golf should win one out of every three or four events; which is almost unheard of against tournament fields that get as large as they do, with as many good players as they typically have in them.

But now the problem is, who SHOULD you bet on to win the major? Well, we'll start by saying that betting on one of the favorites isn't always a bad bet. Just remember to place some bets on other names as well, and don't get sucked in to the very low odds like the +300's and such. If you can find a favorite to win a major who's odds are around +700 to +1000, there's no shame in betting on that player. But you can get some very good bets on players who are ranked in the top 10 or 15 players in the world, with odds that are more around +1400 to +2000. That's the definition of a great value bet. The best thing to do, is your research. Maybe the player who is +900 to win the event, is actually the best bet on the board. Base it off of how they've played lately, their finishes at this course in the past, and other factors like that.

For example, say that a player who is considered to be one of the best in the world hasn't been able to get a big win at a major over the past few events, and has just seemed a bit off. Let's look at some possible odds and stats:

  • Player A: odds of +1000, has two top 10 finishes in the past 5 major events
  • Player B: odds of +1500, has four top 10 finishes in the past 7 major events
  • Player C: odds of +1800, has four top 10 finishes in the past 5 major events

In this example, player A is the big named player, with player's B and C being the type of player who flies under the radar. You can get some great opportunities on betting these players (who are still considered favorites, just not the top favorites), and will get a better payout in comparison to betting the overall favorite. Just remember that when betting on the winner of a golf major, it is recommended to place a few bets on different players in order to give yourself the best opportunity to win the bet in the end.