Denver Broncos vs. Indianapolis Colts Week 7 NFL Pick
Now this one should be a dandy. The most hyped game to date this season will see Peyton Manning make his return to Lucas Oil Stadium where he imprinted himself as one of the best Quarterback's to ever play in the NFL. Beside's the war of words so far between Colts Owner Jim Irsay and Denver Head Coach John Fox, believe it or not there is a football game to be played here.
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The story of the season in the NFL this year has to be Peyton Manning and this high-powered Broncos offence. Manning has thrown for 2179 yards so far this season (all-time record through 6 games), threw for 20 touchdowns before he was intercepted (also an all-time record), completed 74% of his pass attempts, and yes he has even rushed for a touchdown for the first time in 5 years. In case Manning wasn't dangerous enough, he gets to throw to the best receiving corps in the league.
Demaryius Thomas has over 500 yards receiving so far on 37 catches, Eric Decker has 477 yards on 34 catches, Julius Thomas has 381 yards on 31 catches, and Wes Welker has 378 yards on 37 catches. Now you might think it is easy to rack up the yardage stats when Manning is your QB, however most of these guys get their yards after the catch. On the ground, Knowshon Moreno is having perhaps his best season as an NFL Runningback. Thanks to his future Hall Of Fame Quarterback, Moreno has had more running room this year as he has managed 4.7 yards per carry and has found the endzone 7 times in 6 games.
My Pick - OVER 56 (-110) 5 Dimes
Denver's number one ranked offense this season has averaged 44.2 points per game, Manning has averaged 360.5 yards through the air, and the Denver rush attack has averaged over 100 yards per game on the road. Not to be outdone is Manning's successor in Indy, NFL sophomore Andrew Luck. Luck has established himself as one of, if not the best young Quarterback in the NFL. He has a 15-7 record since coming in as the first overall pick and taking over the play-calling for the Colts. Besides a rough game last week in San Diego where the Colts were held to just 3 field goals on the night, this offense has been superb this season. Ranked 11th in overall scoring, the Colts are averaging 24.7 points per game on the season.
Their rush attack at home averages over 120 yards per game, but I am looking for Luck to pick apart this Denver defence through the air. The Broncos road pass defence ranks dead last in the NFL and gives up over 411 yards per game. That is an astonishing statistic considering the Broncos are 6-0 and have only come close to losing once this season. In that close game 2 weeks ago in Dallas, the Broncos defence managed to give up over 500 yards through the air and 5 touchdowns. Bottom line for this highly anticipated matchup is that both teams are very capable of putting points on the board on a consistent basis. The total has gone OVER in Denver's last 5 games, in 7 of their last 9 games on the road, in 6 of their last 7 against the Colts, and in 4 of their last 5 games in Indy. Let's go ahead and take the OVER this week and enjoy what should be a fantastic Sunday Nighter from Indianapolis.