Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts Week 2 NFL Pick
It was not a pretty win for the Colts last week against the lowly Oakland Raiders, however an early season wake up call might just be what Andrew Luck and this Colts offense needed. Luck threw for under 200 yards against Oakland, but what was impressive about his game to me was his ability to create plays with his legs. When it mattered most late in the game, Luck was able to scramble out of the pocket and run for a touchdown that turned out to be the game winner
His ability to be a pocket passer combined with his ability to leave the pocket and use his legs for positive gain puts him in a great position to create offense for this Colts team. Vick Ballard was able to average over 4 yards per carry on the ground for Indy, while the Reggie Wayne of old returned to grab 96 yards worth of catches, as well as a touchdown. Lets not forget the run the Colts went on last year either. They are 10-3 straight up in their last 13 games overall, 5-0 straight up in their last 5 home games, and 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games against the Dolphins.
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For the Dolphins, Ryan Tannehill threw the ball fairly well against the Browns on the road last week, going 24 for 38 for 272 yards and a touchdown. He used Brian Hartline quite a bit (9 receptions for 114 yards), which didn't sit well with free agent acquisition Mike Wallace. However, it is not the disgruntled Wallace that concerns me in regards to Miami this week. It was the complete lack of a running game in Cleveland that makes me wonder if this Dolphins team can be consistent on offense.
My Pick - COLTS -2.5 (-125) 5 Dimes
Yes, the Browns have a very talented front 7 on defence, but running for 20 yards total against any team will not get you very far in this league. The lack of a balanced attack can certainly work in the favour of the Colts defence, and I believe if Brandon Weeden didn't throw 3 first half interceptions against Miami last week, that game's result could have been very different. Miami is 1-4 ATS and straight up in their last 5 games on the road, with that one victory coming last week in Cleveland. Don't expect them to do that twice in a row, and take the Colts to cover the spread at home.