NFL Week 7 Picks & Predictions 2014
Sometimes in the betting world consistency is the key, at least while you wait to get hot. In our case, we have been very consistent as we have split our picks over the last 2 weeks for a 2-2 record. This past week we had the Lions who took care of the Minnesota Vikings on the road with not much trouble and more interestingly we witnessed the Raiders nearly completing a huge upset over the visiting Chargers, however it was not meant to be for the silver and black.
The Lions went into Minnesota and did pretty much what everyone expected of them: hold Minnesota to a minimal amount of points while scoring enough to win. The Lions scored a touchdown in the first quarter, and in reality that is all they needed as their defence surrendered just a field goal to Teddy Bridgewater and the Vikings offense. This stout Lions defence is really becoming a storyline in the NFL this season as they are winning games for Detroit while Calvin Johnson recovers from a high ankle sprain and the offense scoring less than in years past. We easily covered our 1-point spread with a 17-3 Lions victory.
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The Raiders and Chargers traded scores all afternoon long as they were tied after the first, second, and third quarters with each team scoring a touchdown in each quarter. However, the Chargers narrowly escaped being upset by the winless Raiders as they outscored Oakland by three points in the final quarter to come out on top 31-28 over their division rivals. We had the Chargers to win this game by 8 or more, however it proved to be too many points to give Oakland in a divisional game while they scored more points than I had anticipated.
We are due for a winning week here as we have flirted on the line of mediocrity for too long. Let's take a look at the week 7 action from around the NFL.
Tennessee Titans @ Washington Redskins
Two teams that are enduring disappointing seasons so far meet in D.C. this weekend as the Tennessee Titans butt heads with the one-win Washington Redskins. Coming into this game these two teams combine for just three wins on the season, and one of those wins was last week's Titans victory over the ever so lowly Jacksonville Jaguars. That win certainly did not come easy for Tennessee as they needed to block a Jaguars field goal attempt with seconds remaining in the game to overcome the worst team in the NFL after Jacksonville recovered an onside kick with around 30 seconds left in the game. In short, the Titans just about found a way to blow another lead at home after allowing the largest road comeback victory in the history of the NFL in week 5 against the Browns. The Redskins on the other hand looked as if they were going to be able to hang tough on the road last week in Arizona, however three Kirk Cousins interceptions in the fourth quarter and four fourth quarter turnovers overall lead to Washington's demise on this day. Washington has now dropped 13 of their last 14 games dating back to last year, however I am certain they are happy to see Tennessee of all teams this week. In my opinion the Titans have actually been worse this season than the Redskins despite having two wins to Washington's one.
Lines - Washington -5.5 (-110) @ 5dimes.eu
OVER 46 (-110) @ 5dimes.eu
My Pick - REDSKINS -5.5 (-110)
Before last week, the Titans gave up an average of 154 yards on the ground. They then proceeded to give up 82 yards against Jacksonville, an improvement, but the fact that Jacksonville averaged 64 yards running before Sunday puts a damper on Tennessee's improved run defence. This gives Alfred Morris a great opportunity to run for more than 100 yards for the first time in 13 games and will also give Kirk Cousins an opportunity to rebound from last week's disastrous 4th quarter. Cousins actually threw for 354 yards in Sunday's losing effort and was likely trying to do too much down the stretch in an attempt to march his teams to victory. Titans QB Jake Locker remains questionable with an injured hand and Charlie Whitehurst could once again be behind center Sunday afternoon for Tennessee. Either way, the offensive outlook doesn't look pretty for the Titans as they picked up just 290 total yards on offense last week and ran for a grand total of 67 yards. With no running game, there is a lot of pressure on whoever starts at QB for the Titans, and this flaw in Tennessee's offense is a big reason why Jake Locker has thrown as many picks as he has touchdowns on the season and has one of the worst passer ratings in the NFL. This pick isn't so much about Washington being a great team, but it's about Tennessee being a very poor team and i believe they will once again be in tough this week and will struggle to keep this one close. Take Washington minus the points this Sunday from Fedex Field.
San Francisco 49ers @ Denver Broncos
Two teams who overcame slow starts to eventually win their respective week 6 games meet in Denver on Sunday night. The 49ers surrendered the first 14 points of their Monday night game against the Rams, but recovered in a big way to record the next 24 points of the game and came out on top by a 31-17 score. The Broncos also came out of the gates slow in their Sunday afternoon game at the Jets as Payton Manning and co. scored just three points in the first quarter but followed that with two touchdowns in the second quarter en route to also winning by a 31-17 score. Colin Kaepernick and Peyton Manning both found their grooves after the first quarter and both threw three touchdown passes to do what great quarterbacks do, and that is carry their teams to victory. Looking at this game, the first thought could be that San Fran has a stout defence and the Broncos have a much improved defence this season. When I look at his game, I see two QB's who threw a combined 6 touchdowns and 600 yards in their games last week. Both defences will face a stiff test this week as Kaepernick's escapability will pose problems for Denver while Peyton Manning in cohesion with Julius and Demaryius Thomas will certainly give the 49ers secondary all they can handle.
Lines - Denver -7 (+100) @ 5dimes.eu
OVER 49.5 (-110) @ 5dimes.eu
My Pick - OVER 49.5 (-110)
The 49ers could be without linebacker Patrick Willis as well as he suffered a toe injury in last week's win over the Rams. Julius Thomas caught two touchdowns last week and he has caught 9 so far this season, which stands as a record pace for a Tight End. The Broncos also have two wideouts in Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders that are approaching a whopping 500 yards in receiving each, while the ageless Anquan Boldin is approaching 400 for the 49ers. Ronnie Hillman is coming off of a career high 100 rushing yards in the absence of Monte Ball, and the 49ers always run the ball well with long-time RB Frank Gore averaging 4.3 yards per carry, and combined with Kaepernick using his legs to make plays, the ground game also poses a problem for the Broncos. The Broncos have had a very tough schedule so far this season with their first eight opponents averaging 10.6 wins from last season, but Denver has still managed to average 29.4 points per game and remain perfect at home this season. With the offenses of these teams combining for over 60 points last week I will look for lots of points again this week. Take the OVER 49.5 this Sunday night from Denver.