Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions Odds, Pick and Predictions
We're off to a great start with our NFL picks this season as a 2-0 week last week got us started off on the right foot. Originally, I had the Patriots to go into Minnesota and cover the -3 spread, however that was picked before the Adrian Peterson fiasco that kept him out of Sunday's game against the Pats, as well as every game Minnesota will play in the near future. Folks who hopped on that line before it was documented Peterson would miss the contest were beaming, however the Patriots would have covered any number during Sunday's 30-7 throttling of the hometown Vikings. The second half of this game became irrelevant after New England blocked a Vikings' field goal attempt and ran it back for a touchdown seconds before the first half came to a close.
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The Packers had their fans sweating Sunday afternoon as a 21-3 second quarter deficit that turned into a 21-16 half-time deficit in New York against the Jets is something nobody saw coming, however the Packers shook off their early rust and surrendered just 3 points in the second half while scoring 15 of their own to even up their record at 1-1. The Lions were in tough against a prolific Carolina Panthers defence last week as they could not get on the scoreboard until the second half. Carolina managed to handle Megatron and the rest of the Lions offence en route to a 24-7 Panthers victory.
This week at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan we get to witness the first tilt between these two NFC North contenders that could go a long way in deciding this division by season's end. While much of the talk going into every Detroit Lions game is usually about how teams plan on defending the Mathew Stafford/Calvin Johnson tandem, I personally believe a portion of that attention should go to how the Lions plan on defending the Aaron Rodgers/Jordy Nelson combination.
My Pick - OVER 53 (-110) @ 5dimes
Nelson pulled down 209 yards worth of catches on Sunday against the Jets, the most by any Packer since 1996. While Megatron leads the league in receiving yards since the beginning of last season, Nelson ranks 4th on that list and will definitely be a major factor in this game. It is well-known both of these offences have the ability to light up the scoreboard, so this game could very well come down to who can limit the most damage.
The Packers rank dead last in the league giving up 176 yards rushing on the ground per game, however we know the Lions will go their usual Calvin Johnson route to scoring points in this contest. I am looking at the success Aaron Rodgers has had against the Lions (111.0 passer rating, 19 touchdowns vs. 5 interceptions in ten games) as a major reason why I like this pick, obviously combined the Calvin Johnson factor. Let's look for plenty of scoring from Ford Field Sunday afternoon.