Green Bay Packers vs. Baltimore Ravens Week 6 NFL Pick
M&T Bank Stadium is the site for this clash between Aaron Rodgers' Packers and Joe Flacco's Ravens in one of the better early games this Sunday afternoon. The Packers were able to knock off the Lions at home last week, while the Ravens were able to knock off the Dolphins in an impressive road victory.
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However, I like the Packers this week for basically the same reason I picked the Saints: reliable hands to put the ball into. First, there is Rodgers who is still considered a top 3 or 4 QB in this league in terms of reliability and football IQ. Second, the Packers have one of the best receiving crews in the entire NFL. Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, and and James Jones all have caught over 325 yards worth of passes this season, with Nelson leading the way with 371 yards and 3 touchdowns.
On the other side of the ball, the lone serious threat in the receiving group for Baltimore is Torrey Smith. He has excelled this year, catching 556 yards worth of passes from Flacco, but just finding the endzone on one occasion. Ray Rice has been the go-to guy on offense for the Ravens for many years, however the Pro-Bowl Runningback is averaging just 2.9 yards a carry on the season. Bernard Pierce has actually had more carries than Rice, but averages the exact same 2.9 yards per touch.
My Pick - PACKERS -3 (+110) 5 Dimes
The Packers have averaged more pass and rush yards on offense this season than that of Baltimore. They average over 100 more total yards per game than the Ravens, and roughly double their rushing yards per game. Rookie Eddy Lacy made his presence felt after the bye week with a 99 yard rushing game, which is a good sign for the Packers after he suffered a concussion and back up James Starks was also injured with a knee injury. Also important to keep in mind is Aaron Rodgers' success in the month of October. He is 1-0 this year, bringing his total to 9-1 in his last 10 October games. Green Bay is 4-1 straight up in their last 5 against the Ravens, making Baltimore 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against the Packers. Take the Packers this week to push their record over .500 for the first time this season.