New Orleans Saints vs. New York Jets Week 9 NFL Pick
Fresh off of a drubbing they received at the hands of the Bengals last week in Cincinnati, the Jets schedule doesn't get any easier this week as the 6-1 New Orleans Saints visit MetLife Stadium after thumping the Bills last Sunday in New Orleans. It was another day at the office last week for Drew Brees as the Saints play-caller threw for another 300-yard passing game, 332 to be exact, and found the end zone five times.
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Three different Saints were on the receiving end of those touchdown passes, as rookie Kenny Stills caught 2, Jimmy Graham continued his unbelievable season by catching 2 as well, and Lance Moore was the recipient of the opening touchdown just 5 minutes into the game. Going 26-34 and thus completing 76% of your passes is a fantastic day for any Quarterback, however Drew Brees seem to do this regularly. The veteran QB is the main reason why I chose this pick, as the Quarterback situation is extremely tilted in the Saints direction, just like it was last week for New Orleans as they stomped the Bills 35-17.
On one hand you have the aforementioned Brees who is averaging almost 3 touchdowns a game, completing 68% of his passes, and has lead this Saints offence to a number 5 rank overall in terms of points per game with 28. On the other hand you have a rookie in Geno Smith who is actually handling the New York spotlight reasonably, however the numbers just don't match those of Brees. The Jets QB only has 8 touchdowns on the season, completes just 59% of his passes, and has the Jets offense averaging just 18 points per game.
My Pick - SAINTS -7 (+120) 5 Dimes
Also, Saints Tight End Jimmy Graham has almost twice as many receiving yards as the leading receiver for the Jets in Jeremy Kerley (630 to 346). This demonstrates Brees has the experience advantage, the skill advantage, and the supporting cast advantage in this match up. Keep in mind as well that the reason for the Saints demise in years past, their defence, is actually a huge reason why they can very possibly make a Superbowl appearance this season.
Rob Ryan's group gives up just 17 points per game, good for 4th in the NFL, while their road pass defence is ranked 11th, giving up a solid 230 yards per game through the air. The only way the Jets will keep this a close game is if their 8th ranked home pass defence can somehow limit Brees and keep his wealth of receivers under control, and Geno Smith has the best start of his young career. Take the Saints Sunday afternoon to continue their hot season and to win by a touchdown at a very good price.